Page 11 - Boca Club News - May '22
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Boca Club News, Page 11
      Legal: Real Estate Gone Wild




      By Michael J Posner, Esq., a partner                 Interest rates started the year at an average of 3.45%   payment and a monthly mortgage cost of $2,665.46. This is an
      in Ward, Damon, Posner, Pheterson &               for thirty-year fixed rate loans. As inflation reached a 40-  increase of over $880 per month for the same home just four
      Bleau, P.L. a mid-sized real estate and           year high, interest rates for mortgages began to ratchet up,   months later. Assuming an additional cost of $500 per month
      business-oriented law firm serving all            passing 4% in February and 5% in March 2022 (the highest   to cover taxes and insurance, that $500,000 home in January
      of South Florida, with three offices in           since 2011). For a few days in April 2022, rates spiked over   2022 would require a gross family annual income of slightly
      Palm Beach County. They specialize                6% and as I write this the averaged fixed rate mortgage is   over $80,000 to qualify for a conforming mortgage. In order
      in real estate law and can assist                 at 5.3%.                                           to buy that same home today, the gross family annual income
      sellers and purchaser with closing                   This means that a $500,000 home purchased with 20%   would now have to be $113,000–an increase of $33,000 in
      and financing of residential and                  down would have cost only $1,785.03 per month on January   just four months.
      commercial real estate including remote closings. They can be   1st, 2022 for principal and interest. At current rates, this same      Adding to the cost of homeownership is the ever-
      reached at (561) 594-1452 or at mjposner@warddamon.com.  house will now cost $2,221.22 a month for principal and   increasing cost of home insurance. Several Florida insurance
         A few months ago, I made predictions about the 2022   interest, an increase of over $436.00 per month.  companies have already left the market in 2022, reducing the
      real estate market. These predictions included estimates      The ever-increasing cost of mortgages would normally   number of available insurers and forcing more people to the
      regarding mortgage rates, prices of residential real   reduce the demand for housing. However, demand appears to   state’s insurer of last resort, Citizens Property Insurance. The
      property and rental rates. It turns out that my predictions   continue to remain strong while supply of available housing   average insurance policy from 2021 to 2022 increased over
      were not bold enough as the real estate market for the   remains low. This supply and demand imbalance has led   30%, and in the past five years the cost has increased by over
      second quarter of 2022 had started with several unenviable   to higher prices for those available homes. I predicted a   100%. Last year alone, Florida insurance companies claimed
      statistics.                                       continued increase in the price of homes in the 5% to 10%   they lost over $1.2 billion on homeowners’ insurance claims.
         I predicted that interest rates would rise, a prediction   range over 2022. Instead, we have seen a 20% increase in      An attempt to pass insurance reform by the Florida
      that I have made for several years. I felt that long-term   the cost of homes just over the first quarter of 2022.   legislature failed in the last legislative session. Florida Gov.
      interest rates in the mid to high two percent and low to      That  dream  house  for  sale  on  January  1st,  2022  at   Ron DeSantis just announced that he will call a special
      middle three percent were not sustainable. I anticipated   $500,000 is now being sold for $600,000 with multiple   session of the legislature to address rising property insurance
      rates rising from a low of 2.5% for thirty-year fixed rate   bidders competing for the same house. To buy this house   rates in the state. This special session will attempt to address
      mortgages to the 3.5% to 4.5% range.              now instead of January means an additional $20,000 down   various issues which are blamed for the rising insurance rates,
                                                                                                           including fraudulent claims and lawsuits, the requirement
                                                                                                           for roof replacement instead of repair, and possibly caps on
                                                           EXPLorE MIAMI                                   annual increases.

                                                                                                             Finally, I predicted higher rental rates in 2022, expecting
                                                                                                           a 7% to 10% increase for the year. Like my other predictions,
                                                               Explore Miami with Alliant Transport.       in many locations the increases already exceeded 20% just
                                                         Make a day or evening of it at the Biltmore Hotel,   in the first quarter of 2022. In Miami, rental rates rose an
                            We AIM To Please              Bass Museum, Contemporary Arts. Stroll along     astounding 38% for the first quarter of 2022. Many families
                                  “SULLY”                 Brickell Road, see what’s happening in the new   are simply being priced out of the rental market, but with the
                                                                                                           continued influx of families to Florida from out of the state
                                                        Miami or a Skyline Cruise. Dine, shop, sightsee and
                           Driven in Class and Comfort   enjoy we’re driving! Go to an exotic restaurant such   the demand for rental properties will remain high.
                              At Reasonable Rates             as Sexy Fish, Fratelli Milano, or a nice        Given the higher cost of homes, loans and insurance it
                               $65 to FLL and                Dinner Theatre. The choices are endless.      is unclear where the real estate market will go for the rest
                                 PBI Airports                                                              of 2022. I expect continued high prices as many investors
                           Large Groups and Statewide   Let Alliant Transport tailor the itinerary to meet your   with cash continue to compete to purchase available homes
                                   Transport                  desires at a very reasonable rate/$89.       because rental rates have risen higher than the cost of
         A LLIA n T            561-716-0926                Text or call Alliant Transport at 561-716-0926  ownership, allowing continued profit for these investors.
         TrAnSPorT           Text or Call for Service                                                      However, I question the sustainability of this market if costs
                                                                                                           continue to soar out-of-control.
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